Showing posts with label India / Singur-Nandigram. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India / Singur-Nandigram. Show all posts

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Administrative Crackdown on BESU Students

Bengal Engineering And Science University (BESU), Shibpur, Howrah-711 103

FACTSHEET in chronological order:

07.09.2007:
A notice ( memo no. RDO-2/1387) had been issued by the registrar where it was notified that four final year students (UG) and six 3rd year students (UG) were suspended and instructed to vacate their respective hostels with immediate effect for an indefinite period of time. But in the aforementioned notice, lots of irregularities have been found, which are mentioned below:

· It is clearly mentioned in the notice that inquiries against the students alleged to have committed misdemeanors, were pending. Then, we would like to know, how, without proper inquiry, were the 10 students slapped with such harsh punishment?

· We have found that one of the accused students viz. Tanmoy Chatterjee (3rd yr. Metallurgy) was not present in the university campus on the date on which alleged incident took place. He had in fact, gone to visit his friend’s ailing mother, at Peerless Hospital. Then how did his name crop up in the notice?

So it is explicit that the accused 10 students had been wrongly framed and suspended on the basis of some fabricated allegations. We are amazed and upset at this sort of bias on the part of the authority.

12.12. 2007:
" A second year student (U.G) named Afaz-Uddin Ahmed of the Dept. of Information Technology is fomenting trouble & violence in the University campus for the last one year. He, with the help of some of his batch mates is explicitly trying to disturb the peace & harmony of the University campus by infusing dirty politics in the affairs related to the students & inciting violence in the University campus, thus denting the integrity among the students. It had been reported to the concerned authority that he was found to behave in the most unacceptable manner and even has the audacity to manhandle some of his seniors. Presently he has taken his grudge to such an extent that he is threatening his own batch mates of dire consequences if they do not pay their “allegiance” to him. Now he has become so desperate that he is even trying to scare them by threatening that he will take “revenge” by waging his animosity against their families. It has been heard that a guardian of his batch mate has received threatening calls from an anonymous phone number, which is unprecedented in the history of this 150 year old institution. There is no denying the fact that his activities are unbecoming of a student of such a reputed institution.

We had lodged several complaints against him to the concerned authority, but unfortunately all have gone unheeded. If he is testing our patience, we would like to make it clear that we will no longer remain as silent victims of his inhuman acts. It is unfortunate to inform you that his motive of gaining narrow political mileage is explicitly getting the patronage of some of the office bearers of BESU, as found in yesterday night’s incident at hostel 9.But unfortunately the University authority is trying to overlook his heinous activities because of his outside political support. " (From a mass petition by the students)
When we drew the attention of our faculty members to this matter and submitted a mass petition to the Dean of Students (PICSA) on 12.12.2007, the authority came under pressure to act and constituted a disciplinary committee. But on the very day (13th December, 2007), Students’ Federation of India staged a rally and intentionally fomented panic among the students. And the result was imposition of section 144 in the campus, a black day for us. The “Afaaz” issue, thus, died down.

19.3.2008:
Three 2nd year students returning to their hostels at around 10 p.m. were ragged and racially abused by few boarders of “Wolfenden Hall”, as they were natives from outside West Bengal. They were physically assaulted and two 2nd year students sustained head injuries. Police forces were called in to control the situation. However, the boarders of “Wolfenden Hall” continued to resort to violent means in spite of the presence of police and faculty members. Two of the Wolfenden boarders were caught red handed with hockey sticks (it is to be noted that there is no hockey team in our university) by the faculty members. But, on insistence of Prof. Bhawani Prasad Mukhopadhay, the two were released with no charges being levied against them.

20.3.2008:
In the evening, party cadres brutally assaulted few students at the first gate of the university in front of R.A.F. SFI supporters helped them by pointing out the targets. When the students appealed to the R.A.F to take action, they resorted to indiscriminate “lathicharge” on the students. They even entered Richardson Hall without the permission of the hostel superintendent and assaulted the boarders, including a physically handicapped student. More than twenty students were seriously injured. The same act was repeated in Sengupta as well as Sen Halls. The dual policy adopted by the R.A.F. was apparent from the ease with which cadres were roaming freely and threatening us in the presence of R.A.F. In the mean time SFI supporters attacked 2nd year hostels. The 2nd year students were so terrified that they sought our help. We took them to our hostels, called our University doctors and provided them with First Aid. Strangely, the authority’s idea of assistance was an order to vacate the hostels near midnight. Buses were provided to transport us to the Howrah station. We narrated the ordeal of the 2nd year students to police. They assured us that the 2nd year students would be able to reach their hostels. So we boarded the bus provided by the authority. But unfortunately when we reached Howrah Station we came to know that the hapless 2nd year students were arrested by police charging them of loitering in the campus after 10-30 pm.

You can surely understand that we, the students have become victims of SFI-Authority-Police nexus whose sole motive is to de-stabilize our esteemed Institution. Our very existence in the University campus is at stake. We would like to vehemently protest against the barbaric treatment given to the ordinary students.

24.03.2008:
Students were put under virtual house arrest, and their free movement was restricted by the police. They even threatened students of dire consequences, which included threatening them with initiation of legal proceedings and disrupting their careers, for no valid reason.

The press was not allowed to enter the campus and report the incidents occurring inside. Even the students were not allowed to go near the press and express their views. This constitutes a gross violation of human rights.

We would like to appeal to you to bring this to the attention of the nation at large and help us to bring the offenders to justice.

With warm regards,
Students (U.G)
BESU,Shibpur

SIBPUR BESU UPDATE

1. The Sibpur BESU students are continuing their sit-in at Metro Channel, Esplanade. Almost everybody has submitted a blank sheet in the examinations. Many have again written "Save BESU from becoming a Nandigram".

On Thursday, March 27, they are calling for solidarity from students, teachers, engineers and other intellectuals. They have obtained formal police permission for a structure from 4-8 pm at Metro Channel, Esplanade.

2. The authorities at BESU have opened the sealed packets containing scripts, before delivery to the examiners, with the motivation of picking out victims. Because the confidentiality of the examination process has been compromised, the teachers at BESU, after a council meeting, declared the examinations to be null and void.

Some samples of what happened :

Moloy (name changed), after being assaulted reached the Registrar to complain against the assailants. He was still covered with blood. The Registrar handed him a copy of a complaint against himself, filed by the assailants to the effect that Moloy had assaulted them.

Subir, Pankaj, Joy and others (names changed) complained to the VC when he came to their hostel that they had been cruelly assaulted. The VS smiled sweetly and said , "Why are you making up stories? Nobody assaulted you."

Both of these characters have been tireless in telling students and guardians that the students should join the SFI (students' outfit of the ruling communists of West Bengal) and all trouble would stop.

There should be a Citizens' Enquiry into these alleged misdemeanors of the Vice Chancellor and the Registrar of BESU.

Friday, March 07, 2008

The imperative as an alternative

Amit Bhaduri
Seminar, February 2008

ARE SEZs necessary to ensure that the Indian economy stays on a high growth path, generating economic development in the process as well? This essay argues that such is not the case at all.

Developing countries are today confronted by a serious dilemma. In the current phase, the emerging rules of globalization are increasingly occupying the policy space of the nation-state. And yet, the global rules of the game are flawed, and biased in favour of the richer countries, especially the United States. The dilemma arises because the developing countries tend to feel that there is no alternative to accepting globalization in its present form, the so-called TINA syndrome of a unipolar world dominated by the United States (US). They do not realize that they can hardly rely on the national interests of this superpower to further their own developmental objectives. A couple of well-known examples illustrate this point.

To start with, consider world trade. Fairer global trade in agricultural commodities, without open or hidden subsidies to farmers in richer countries, is required not merely for a freer trade regime; it also affects the poorest one billion people in the world as most of them are connected directly or indirectly to agricultural activities in the rural areas of developing countries. There is hardly any other trade-related example with greater compatibility between a more efficient international price mechanism operating through freer trade, and greater global equality and economic justice. And yet, international negotiations governed by the corporate interests in the richer nations reduced global rule-making recently to a ‘tit-for-tat’ strategy that led to a breakdown in negotiations, and the tendency to impose policies decided by the richer and more powerful nations.

There are other examples of imposed rather than negotiated policies. Both the Bretton-Woods institutions, namely the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, manipulate economic policy in the developing countries through their standard pro-market loan ‘conditionalities’. In defence of imposing pro-market conditionalities on developing countries, both these institutions place a great deal of emphasis on the principle of accountability to the market. Ironically, however, they themselves remain totally unaccountable for their performance and recommendations, no matter whether an economic collapse occurs in Argentina under their guidance, or an acute financial crisis erupts in East Asia (the only country to escape largely its adverse consequences was Malaysia, which went openly against the IMF prescriptions), or years of stagnation continue despite their recommended large-scale IMF-World Bank sponsored liberalization in sub-Saharan Africa. More blatantly, the presidents of the World Bank are chosen from the US, by the US, for the US, in the name of global development.

The power of imposing rules, which the rich nations have over the poor nations, arises to a large extent from several historically inherited structural asymmetries underlying the present world capitalist system on which is premised the current process of globalization. Without identifying them clearly, it would appear that this process of globalization led by the interests of the rich is a natural phenomenon, somewhat like an earthquake or a drought, consequences that have to be accepted because they cannot be controlled. We would be in a better position to integrate strategically with the global economy to our advantage, instead of meekly submitting to it, if we understand these structural asymmetries.

To begin with, the most fundamental asymmetry in the world economy arises today from the freedom of movement of capital, especially financial capital on one hand, and the restrictions on the movement of labour on the other, especially unskilled labour from developing countries. Despite vast improvements in travel and communications technology, available estimates suggest that labour migration as a proportion of the total world population has been lower in the current phase (approximately 1973 to date) compared to the earlier phase of globalization (approximately 1870-1913).

On a rough reckoning, about one in six persons crossed national borders for employment or livelihood between 1860 and 1900. They went as indentured labour from China and India, as colonial settlers from Europe to North, Central and South America, and to Australia. Over a comparable period of nearly five decades of the current phase of globalization, not more than one in seven persons migrated. Contrast this relatively sluggish movement of labour with the movements of capital, especially financial capital during the current phase of globalization. Rough estimates available from the Bank of International Settlements suggest that the annual volume of private trade in foreign exchange is about 450 trillion dollars, almost nine times the volume of world GDP. Of this, less than two per cent is accounted for by trade in goods and services, and even if one adds all direct foreign investment it would still be well below four per cent. So, purely financial transactions account annually for over eight times the world GDP. (By contrast, in the era of regulated finance in the early 1970s, only about 10% of all international transactions were financial.)

A few days of hostile private trade in the foreign exchange market can wipe out the entire foreign reserve of all the central banks in the world. The defining characteristic of the current phase of globalization has become this overwhelming dominance of private trade in finance. The world has not seen anything like this before.

The rise to ascendancy of international finance started with successive waves of liberalization of the major capital markets of the advanced capitalist countries starting around mid-1970s, and assumed irresistible momentum by early 1980s. The entire process was further stimulated by the internet boom of the 1990s and by rapid advances in telecommunications technology. Although little explicit note is taken of its implications in public discussions and government pronouncements, its imprint has been deep on the pace and pattern of world development in general, and Indian development in particular.

Economic policies are increasingly formulated by the Indian government with a view to appease the sentiments of financial markets. The English language media, especially the electronic media that shape Indian middle-class opinion, tend to behave as if the daily fluctuations of the stock market provide a barometer of the health of the real economy. However, the Indian stock market is minuscule in relation to the vast size of global private trade in foreign exchange mentioned earlier. The rupee and Indian stocks can easily be set into an uncontrollable downward spiral by a few large international players speculating against some Indian stocks or the rupee.

This is not at all fanciful. Recall how Dalal Street nosedived immediately after the 2004 general election results, because a few large, mostly foreign institutional investors, began to withdraw from the Indian capital market fearing that a coalition government supported by the left will be unfriendly towards private businesses. However, as soon as the UPA government named its top economic team, a trio of the prime minister, the finance minister and the deputy chairman of the planning commission, all known for their extreme pro-market and corporate-friendly outlook, the stock markets began to stabilize in no time.

Nothing had changed about ground realities of the Indian economy in those few weeks, except that international finance capital needed political assurances. In the process, the future course of economic policies of the country was set, and the left sufficiently tamed as its subsequent economic policies are showing.

This story would remain incomplete for India, as for other developing countries, if we miss the critical role of the IMF and the World Bank. Since those two institutions are in a pivotal position to influence the perception of private foreign investors like multinational corporations, banks and other financial institutions about a country’s investment climate, they exert a significant influence on financial markets. If the economic policies of a government are favourable to the corporations, it generally gets a good chit from the IMF and the World Bank, encouraging capital to flow in to stimulate the stock market. With an unfavourable signal from those institutions, the government runs the risk of capital flying out in a destabilizing manner.

This, not merely free trade, is the name of the financial game under globalization. The IMF, the World Bank and all those suffering from the TINA syndrome would like us to believe this is indeed the only game in town! Under pressure from the Bretton-Woods institutions, India passed a Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act (FRBM) in 2003 which prevents the government from spending more in areas like elementary education, expanding rural employment guarantee or making it effective by strengthening decentralization of the panchayat system through adequate fiscal autonomy. Tribals and peasants are evicted from lands with little compensation and their livelihoods destroyed to improve the ‘investment climate’.

It is becoming increasingly apparent that in the name of development policies of developmental terrorism on the poor are being pursued. It might deliver high growth in the short term, but it is growth without a democratic content. It does not reach the poor citizens of India who need to benefit most from the process of growth. This is why each and every government that has been following this sort of policy gets showered with the approval of the corporate sector, the IMF and the World Bank, and even the upper middle class, but loses the general election.

The Congress government under the then Prime Minister Narasimha Rao with Manmohan Singh as its finance minister spearheading economic reforms lost the general election. Manmohan Singh personally failed to win a seat. The BJP-led coalition crashed in the 2004 general election with its ‘Shining India’ slogan; it did especially badly in Andhra which was shining under the glow of IT industries. There is no reason to believe that things would be any different next time. However, this would require going against the hidden script of globalization by upsetting the alliance between large domestic industrial houses, multinational corporations and banks including the IMF and the WB, and a pliable domestic government irrespective of its political label.

The second important asymmetry in the current phase of globalization arises from the increasingly freer flow of trade in goods and services on the one hand, and the growing restriction on the transfer of knowledge and technology embodied in the production of those goods and services on the other. In the emerging regime of Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), all developing countries, including India, find it increasingly difficult to learn and adopt the production technology involved in the goods and services they import. The asymmetry of the emerging trade regime has been characterized by freer trade in goods and services coupled with greater restrictions on the flow of productive knowledge.

Thus, the more ‘liberalized’ trade regime of the World Trade Organization (WTO) puts India under increasing pressure to import goods and services rather than produce them at home. It is conveniently forgotten that international trade has been the vehicle for learning the technology embodied in the traded goods and new products throughout history. This learning process involved through international trade may well be the most important dynamic gains from freer trade, far outweighing the static gains of existing comparative advantage.

By treating knowledge more and more as simply a privately tradable commodity, the current trade regime shows its bias towards corporations as the generator of knowledge who should be handsomely rewarded, but forgets the importance of other sources of knowledge like traditional community-based knowledge to the detriment of many indigenous communities. This, however, does not stop globally powerful drug giants from engaging in biopiracy by relying precisely on the knowledge of herbs held by tribal communities of this country!

It is in this context of freer trade in goods and services that the economic consequence of globalization in terms of the increased relative importance of the external vis-à-vis the internal or domestic market needs to be examined. It has influenced thinking on macroeconomic policy in a way which is seldom highlighted. It emphasizes the importance of reducing the costs of production through more efficient supply-side policies for increasing the international competitiveness of the national economy, but ignores the problem of creating adequate purchasing power and aggregate demand through relative neglect of the domestic market.

This shift of emphasis from domestic demand to international cost competitiveness raises concerns about labour market ‘flexibility’ and various forms of wage restraint. Lower wages tend to depress the unit cost of production, but also the consumption demand from wage income. Consequently, unless either higher luxury consumption, investment or increased export surplus makes up for that reduction in consumption demand in a regime of investment or export-led growth, insufficient aggregate demand at home would become the binding constraint on development.

Similarly, the emphasis on increasing output (value added) per worker or labour productivity (to reduce labour cost of business) and using this as a tool for enhancing international competitiveness has its downside. Attention focused only on labour productivity separates it from the level of employment in the economy. Thus total output would decrease despite an increase in productivity, if the percentage decrease in the level of employment exceeds the increase in labour productivity. Consequently, the corporate strategy of ‘downsizing’ the labour force to create a ‘lean and efficient corporation’ for increasing market share might turn out to be good for a particular corporation, but macro-economically counterproductive if many corporations do it simultaneously with shrinking of total supply, and of the size of the domestic market.

Such policies of reducing unit cost in search of greater efficiency are effective on the microeconomic scale of a single corporation, but counterproductive on the macroeconomic scale due to their effect of depressing aggregate demand. The blurring of this distinction between micro-level and macro-level efficiency, typical of the corporate ideology, gives rise to many ‘fallacies of composition’ in macroeconomic policy by assuming that the individual microeconomic ‘parts’ have the same properties as the ‘whole’ macroeconomic system. In actual fact, the whole is different from the sum of the parts.

The third asymmetry arises in the current phase of globalization from the role assigned to the state in monitoring and regulating economic activities. The market-oriented neo-liberal philosophy intends to curb the role of the state as an economic actor, but gives rise to an almost schizophrenic view of the capabilities of the state. It is usually claimed that the state cannot be trusted with expansionary monetary and fiscal policies (e.g. FRBM Act of 2003 mentioned earlier) because it has an inbuilt tendency to be financially irresponsible. At the same time, however, the same state is relied upon to undertake far more complex financial tasks like extending the scope of the market though privatization without corruption, regulating the stock exchange, etc. This schizophrenic view about its capabilities is rooted in denying the state its developmental and distributive role, but using it to promote the reach of the multinational corporations through measures like privatization.

This also poses the most serious challenge to our democratic form of government. It leads in the case of India to the most fundamental asymmetry in the relation between our political democracy and the market mechanism. In neo-liberal philosophy, the free market and democracy are considered mutually reinforcing, as both extend the scope of individual choice. And yet, the types of freedom granted by the market economy and political democracy are often in conflict in developing countries. The democratic principle of ‘one-adult-one-vote’ coexists rather uneasily with the free market philosophy that the rich, with greater purchasing power, would have more ‘votes’ than the poor in the marketplace.

This asymmetry becomes even more acute when with greater inequality in the distribution of income a larger proportion of the poor have political voting rights, but are economically without a ‘voice’ in the market. In these circumstances, the democratic form of government comes under increasing strain if too much freedom is granted to the market. Yet, the process of globalization relentlessly generates a situation in which national governments (having already succumbed) end up having little control over the free play of global market forces as they impinge on their own country.

As a matter of fact the history of the relation between economic development and democracy has been far more complex than the currently fashionable ‘political correctness’ would have us believe. Historically, the per capita income of the western countries had to reach a minimum of 2000 dollar per capita per year before anything close to universal suffrage was granted. This was a high level compared to India’s 200-250 dollars around the time of our first general election in 1952 (measured in 1999 at Purchasing Power Parity or PPP calculation).

It is an unparalleled achievement in recorded history that political democracy in India has been sustained at that level of poverty despite the tremendous diversity of the country. This also poses the most serious challenge to our democratic form of government. It must control the excesses of globalization and domination by corporations of our economy. Our democracy has to ensure that the process of growth is not corporate-driven, but is decentralized and led by rural employment, in order to allow for the widest participation of our citizens. Only then will the wealth created by growth be fairly shared, and growth itself will have a democratic content. It will be growth of wealth created by the people, for the people. This compulsion of our time can neither be met by globalization, nor by corporate-led growth supported by the government. Unfortunately neither the right nor the left seem to have woken up to this challenge for a pattern of development that gives dignity to all citizens.

If multiparty parliamentary democracy means giving people a wide range of political choices, we have it in plenty in India. However, if we have to also choose the content in critical areas of economic policy there is hardly any choice left. A marked convergence among political parties is taking place, less apparent in their rhetoric, but unmistakably clear in their actions. One could have believed that this is the result of the compromises of coalition politics at the centre. But when the same thing happens at the level of states, and political parties of different labels follow with equal vengeance the same economic course, no room is left even for illusions.

Grand terms like ‘growth’, ‘industrialization’, and ‘development’ are used by politicians with abandon these days to hide the poverty of their economics and politics. But the central question remains unanswered. If a high rate of growth of a particular sort necessarily entails a certain type of industrialization, is this industrialization synonymous with development?

The type of industrialization India is experiencing with recent high growth has three characteristics that are unmistakably neo-liberal. First, it is led by corporations. Second, they are mostly private corporations. Third, the role that the government plays at the central and at the state level is that of a promoter, an agent of private corporations, not one of a regulator. All parliamentary political parties seem to agree. We are repeatedly told that sacrifice is needed for this industrialization, but it is conveniently left untold that the sacrifice must be borne by those who are least capable of bearing it, the poor and the most marginalized sections of society. The rich corporations need not sacrifice. Instead, they are subsidized by the governments. The estimated subsidy for the Tatas in Singur, West Bengal is over Rs 850 crore for an investment of Rs 1000 crore. Similar deals are said to have been cut by the other big industrialists for SEZs and other projects.

The traditional political differences have been homogenized into a neo-liberal consensus. Insofar as the traditional left is concerned, first Singur and then Nandigram drove home the point that many of the left politicians are not that different from the ‘dream team’ of economic policy-makers at the Centre who favour the World Bank, the IMF and the Asian Development Bank. The cultural nationalists of the Hindutva variety violently uphold their culture when it comes to Ram Mandir and ‘Vande Mataram’, but surrender willingly to foreign multinationals. The political doubletalk everywhere is amazing.

Congress has a remarkably short memory about the Sikh massacre of 1984. The left parties rightly breathe fire about the Gujarat massacre of 2002, while BJP covers it up with false propaganda and manipulation of the state machinery. When Nandigram massacres happened in 2007 and Advani compared it with Jallianwala Bagh, conveniently forgetting Gujarat, CPM leaders and some of the supportive intellectuals called it an unfortunate incident that happened accidentally. The unwarranted shooting of 13 tribals in Kalinganagar in 2006 by the police bears an uncanny parallel. The tribals were refusing to hand over their land to the same Tatas in Kalinganagar, just as in Singur and Nandigram the peasants have been resisting. Should we be erecting a defence of empty words to say how different Navin Patnaik is from Buddhadeb Bhattacharya only because they go by different political labels? It is evident from a chronological survey of field reports from Kalinganagar and Nandigram that these were premeditated actions by the state authorities to test the waters and see how far they can go in the service of large corporations.

In this world of neo-liberal harmony, parties of different shades insist that corporate-style industrialization with the state as its agent is our only option. At the same time, the Indian polity with an increasingly inequitable economy thrives in the name of high growth, industrialization and ‘development’, working ruthlessly against the poor majority. A spectre of despair and popular anger haunts all corners of the country now. Farmers are committing suicide in thousands, especially in Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh and Punjab because the government wants to usher in a new type of commercial, industrialized agriculture under WTO, with expensive inputs supplied by multinationals, but without any subsidy or an appropriate price for their produce.

In Chhattisgarh, in the name of fighting extremism, tribals are being forcibly evacuated in thousands from their villages under Salwa Judum, to be huddled in Vietnam-style concentration camps while the corporations eye greedily their land, rich in mineral resources. The poorest, though richest in natural resources, are kept down by denying them what belongs to them by birth.

Since land is a state subject according to the Constitution of India, the question of land acquisition, and the degree of coercion used thereby, is largely the prerogative of the state government. This is where the political hypocrisy is particularly evident, and the rhetoric about centre-state division of power cannot hide it. Land is being acquired by various state governments in a competitive race-to-the-bottom in order to win the favour of the big corporations. The argument goes, ‘If we in West Bengal do not do it, Uttarakhand will do it’ or, ‘We can be more ferocious than Orissa in pleasing the Tatas or the Jindals or whoever else.’ This has legal and moral encouragement from the central government, but the state government has full constitutional power not to oblige.

Land is being acquired in different guises for mining, industry, power projects, large estates and IT parks and, most recently for special economic zones (SEZ) under the ‘eminent domain’ clause of the Land Acquisition Act (1894), which allows the state to override private property right in land in the ‘public interest’. Land, the primary source of livelihood in the agrarian economy, includes as per the act, ‘everything’ attached to land – water, minerals. Therefore, it becomes the most obvious case of coercive transfer of resources from common people (for whom land and the resource base is not mere property but livelihood) to private corporations. Using the same old act since the British days, amended in 1984, land acquisition is carried out to serve corporate interest, destroy livelihoods, and displace people.

It is often said there are invariably gainers and losers in such economic processes, which the economist Jospeh Schumpeter had long ago captured with the phrase ‘creative destruction’. However, in the present context this is a misleading half-truth. If such creative destruction was just a part of the normal process of capitalistic development, it would have been unnecessary for the state to intervene in the guise of ‘public interest’ on behalf of private corporations. It involves a transaction between two private parties, namely the corporation and the landowning peasants, without a level-playing field. The function of the state should be to at least ensure that this transaction is voluntary, particularly because one party in the transaction is economically far weaker. This would mean that the corporations would acquire land at a price at which the peasants are willing to part voluntarily with their land, either individually or through collective decisions, the latter being especially relevant in the case of tribal land.

Instead, what has been happening is that the state is using force and violence under a cloak of secrecy despite the Right to Information Act. Although the SEZ scheme has the most pronounced pro-corporate bias, the difference between acquiring SEZ land in Nandigram, and the land for the Tata-Fiat joint venture in Singur is one of legal nicety, not of relevance insofar as those who derive livelihood from that land are concerned. And, even after Nandigram, what most parties, including the CPM have to recommend is not the scrapping of SEZ altogether, but restricting its maximum size and other minor changes!

Although land is the most visible symbol of transfer of resources to the corporations, the problem goes deeper. The bias against the poor in policy-making is both direct and indirect. The direct bias is visible in plan allocation. Despite 60% or more of our working population depending on agriculture, all the recent five year plans under different governments have allocated less than five per cent of planned investment to agriculture. The indirect bias operates pervasively through a pattern of consumption and production promoted by the state. Mammoth projects create the impression of urban gloss, with fancy express-ways, underground metros, flyovers etc. at public cost.

We take it for granted that many of these public utilities are essential for efficiency, saving time in travelling, improving the quality of life, even for attracting investment. These arguments are not false, but one-sided. We need, even more desperately, higher efficiency and better quality of life in rural India where the majority lives. In the metropolitan area, we need infrastructure to ensure basic amenities to the most needy. Manhattan-like world-class cities are set as our goals, when 25% to 60% of the urban population lives a subhuman existence in slums. So why this bias, and whom does it benefit? It certainly benefits the urban elite population, and leads to uncontrolled urbanization and mega cities with growing hunger for energy, water and other resources. Slums are cleared without providing resettlement options, poverty banished only from sight. Millions suffer.

This large-scale destruction of livelihoods of both urban and rural communities is only the surface phenomenon. The modes of transport we are creating with more flyovers for cars (including Tatas’ people’s car), the type of shopping or housing complexes we are promoting are not merely iniquitous. They are far more polluting and resource and energy-intensive, and the majority of our ordinary citizens who do not consume them also have to pay directly or indirectly for this pattern of consumption. This is why farmers get less water, are starved of electricity in critical periods and clean drinking water or proper sanitation is a luxury in villages.

The idea that industry is more efficient than agriculture is largely because of this pronounced bias against agriculture and the poor. With almost two-thirds of our work force in agriculture producing under one-fourth of national output, output per worker in agriculture is about 40 per cent of national average. In contrast, industry and services have a labour productivity double the national average. This is also an old game of attributing ‘values’ to selected products and services, so that higher growth is achieved by transferring more and more resources to the high productivity sector, and by favouring large corporations which organize this pattern of production for privileged India. The other (much larger) India watches in despair and anger, while many have no choice but to commit suicide. Must we not strive for an economic alternative on the basis of a new politics?

An economic alternative stimulating another kind of development is feasible. Elements of it exist even in the present political-economic system. Very briefly, it has to be based on three basic premises. First, we must learn to rely far more on the internal rather than the external market. The biggest driving force of the internal market is the purchasing power of the ordinary people derived from employment growth. India’s record on this score has been dismal in recent years. An eight per cent growth in output has been accompanied by barely one per cent growth in regular employment, and increase in irregular or ancillary employment is marked by flexible contracts loaded against the worker, with insecurity and overcrowding of infrastructure.

It is foolish to expect that corporate-led growth can do better on the employment front, because corporations are in the game of making profit by cutting costs, including labour costs. And the more we accept globalization unconditionally, the stronger would be the relative importance of the external over the internal market. This means cutting labour costs in order to increase exports will become even more pressing. Primacy to exports also means priorities in production going against the needs of the population here. Growth of the internal market through rapid employment growth, therefore, requires a far more selective approach to globalization.

Second, economic growth must be the outcome of employment growth, not the other way round and the former should never be at the cost of the latter. Employment growth in the 1980s was twice of what it is now, even though the growth rate of GDP was a little more than half of what it is today. Our benchmark should be a time-bound programme for full employment. How much the growth in employment contributes to growth in output depends naturally on how productively labour can be employed. India has performed poorly in this respect. The main reason is a bureaucratized system of central control which kills local initiative. We have to start at the opposite end of socialist orthodoxy, not by accepting neo-liberalism, but by forging a new combination altogether.

On the one hand, we have to get out of the grip of corporate-led industrialization by making agriculture and the rural economy the centre of economic dynamism; on the other, we have to break the grip of current centralized bureaucratic decision-making. This can be done by extending the present national employment guarantee scheme to an ambitious time-bound full employment programme. It will involve delegating much of the decision-making power to the panchayats and local bodies to identify, formulate and execute local employment-generating productive projects.

A precondition for this is local control over local resources related to land, and maximum fiscal autonomy for the panchayats. Even the Constitution, through Article 243, provided for a Finance Commission to support and ensure that village/ward-level local bodies become financially viable. It was to be appointed in 1993. No government, central or state, followed this up seriously. The record of Kerala has been the best while that of West Bengal government has been among the worst.

Acknowledging that the Left Front played a role in getting NREGA enacted, it is shocking that only 14 per cent of the money allotted in the poorest Bengal district of Purulia for employment guarantee was spent until December 2006, more than half the money of employment guarantee provided by the Centre remaining unspent in the state. Not more than 16 days of employment was provided, while the legal and financial provision allows for 100 days. (Reports from other states too show a similar situation with an exception in certain areas). If the governments had shown the same zeal in making a success of employment guarantee as they have shown in acquiring land from the unwilling peasants, we would have taken at least the first step towards a genuine process of development. The irony is that such an approach would be a political success at the polls. Yet, the path is not being followed!

Finally, there is the question of finance. Where would the money come from for such an ambitious employment programme, and how to make sure it is spent effectively? The Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act (2003) which ties the hands of the government in spending money for most pressing needs like employment guarantee must be scrapped. With this act the Centre pushes privatization to raise money, denies basic health and educational expenditure, and restricts the role of public policy in the name of financial discipline. This suits well the IMF, the World Bank, and the corporations who want the state to promote, not regulate them.

This is where the left should have its biggest battle, and insist that money that is needed for employment, basic education, health and social security of the unorganized workers must be found within our means, if necessary by revising this law. Its own policy imagination failing, it went along instead with the neo-liberal economic ideology with only a whimper of initial protest, ultimately succumbing to corporate-led industrialization. A recent statement by a veteran left leader regarding the inevitability of capitalism is a case in point.

To ensure fiscal autonomy for local bodies, their budget can be kept in a separate account in nationalized banks with a credit line extended to panchayats. This would avoid duplication of institutions, while a system of mutual check and balance between the panchayats and the local branch of nationalized banks can be devised based on their performance as borrowers and lenders. Banks would lend the next round only if the previous project succeeds, and panchayats can borrow the next round only if the money is well-spent. It is this mutuality of interest which has to be strengthened over time in creating the new form of sustained financing for development.

Regardless of whether the growth is 8 or 10 per cent, these measures would initiate a process that empowers the poor, imparting a genuine democratic and participatory content to India’s development. If our political parties, policy-makers and bureaucrats can reach a consensus and display the same collective commitment to the participatory approach outlined in this essay that they have hitherto shown in order to achieve corporate-led high ‘growth at any cost’, at least five desirable goals of development in the country can be attained.

First, easy as it might sound, unemployment and poverty can be eliminated within the foreseeable future. Second, by putting purchasing power in the hands of the hitherto destitute, the domestic market for industrial products and basic needs can be developed, creating a fresh source of healthy growth for industry and the macroeconomy. Third, through the public works programmes that the rural poor will execute, infrastructure (like roads, irrigation, etc.) can be strengthened and expanded. Fourth, priority environmental projects (such as watershed development, afforestation, groundwater recharge and soil conservation) can be undertaken to stem and reverse the worsening ecological crisis the country will face in the approaching future. Finally, by generating employment in the countryside the policy will reverse the flow of distress migrants to the cities (saddled as they already are with burdened infrastructure).

SEZs are not needed to find such a growth-and-development path. In fact, it is difficult to conceive of a single policy which can meet so many desirable goals at one stroke. There are times in history when what is desirable is also necessary and imperative. The alternative to destructive, socially and environmentally destabilizing growth stares us in the face. Unless the reforms inaugurated in 1991 are radically reformed and humanized by a fresh approach, we may be entering a period of great political and social turmoil, courting environmental disasters in the process. The question is: can we as a citizenry commit ourselves to the urgent task at hand?

Monday, February 18, 2008

Predatory Growth

Amit Bhaduri

Over the last two decades or so, the two most populous, large countries in the world, China and India, have been growing at rates considerably higher than the world average. In recent years the growth rate of national product of China has been about three times, and that of India approximately two times that of the world average. This has led to a clever defence of globalisation by a former chief economist of IMF (Fisher, 2003). Although China and India feature as only two among some 150 countries for which data are available, he reminded us that together they account for the majority of the poor in the world. This means that, even if the rich and the poor countries of the world are not converging in terms of per capita income, the well above the average world rate of growth rate of these two large countries implies that the current phase of globalisation is reducing global inequality and poverty at a rate as never before.

Statistical half truths can be more misleading at times than untruths. And this might be one of them, in so far as the experiences of ordinary Indians contradict such statistical artefact. Since citizens in India can express reasonably freely their views at least at the time of elections, their electoral verdicts on the regime of high growth should be indicative. They have invariably been negative. Not only did the ‘shining India’ image crashed badly in the last general election, even the present prime minister, widely presented as the ‘guru’ of India’s economic liberalisation in the media, could never personally win an election in his life. As a result, come election time, and all parties talk not of economic reform, liberalisation and globalisation, but of greater welfare measures to be initiated by the state. Gone election times, and the reform agenda is back. Something clearly needs to be deciphered from such predictable swings in political pronouncement.

Politicians know that ordinary people are not persuaded by statistical mirages and numbers, but by their daily experiences. They do not accept high growth on its face value as unambiguously beneficial. If the distribution of income turns viciously against them, if the opportunities for reasonable employment and livelihood do not expand with high growth, the purpose of higher growth would be widely questioned in a democracy. This is indeed what is happening, and it might even appear to some as paradoxical. The festive mood generated by high growth is marinated in popular dissent and despair, turning often into repressed anger. Like a malignant malaise, a sense of political unease is spreading insidiously along with the near double digit growth. And, no major political party, irrespective of their right or left label, is escaping it because they all subscribe to an ideology of growth at any cost.

What exactly is the nature of this paradoxical growth that increases output and popular anger at the same time? India has long been accustomed to extensive poverty coexisting with growth, with or without its ‘socialist pattern’. It continues to have anywhere between one-third and one- fourth of its population living in sub-human, absolute poverty. The number of people condemned to absolute poverty declined very slowly in India over the last two decades, leaving some 303 million people still in utter misery. In contrast China did better with the number of absolutely poor declining from 53 per cent to 8 percent, i.e. a reduction of some 45 percentage points, quite an achievement compared to India’s 17 percentage points. However, while China grew faster, inequality or relative poverty also grew faster in China than in India. Some claim that the increasing gap between the richer and the poorer sections in the Chinese society during the recent period has been one of the worst in recorded economic history, perhaps with the exception of some former socialist countries immediately after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The share in national income of the poorest 20 per cent of the population in contemporary China is 5.9 percent, compared to 8.2 per cent in India. This implies that the lowest 20 per cent income group in China and in India receives about 30 and 40 percent of the per capita average income of their respective countries. However, since China has over two times the average per capita income of India in terms of both purchasing power parity, and dollar income, the poorest 20 percent in India are better off in relative terms, but worse off in absolute terms. The Gini coefficient, lying between 0 and 1, measures inequality, and increases in value with the degree of inequality. In China, it had a value close to 0.50 in 2006, one of the highest in the world. Inequality has grown also in India, but less sharply. Between1993-94 and 2004-5, the coefficient rose from 0.25 to 0.27 in urban, and 0.31 to 0.35 in rural areas. Every dimension of inequality, among the regions, among the professions and sectors, and in particular between urban rural areas has also grown rapidly in both counties, even faster in China than in India. In short, China has done better than India in reducing absolute poverty, but worse in allowing the gap to grow rapidly between the rich and the poorduring the recent period of high growth.

A central fact stands out. Despite vast differences in the political systems of the two countries, the common factor has been increasing inequality accompanying higher growth. What is not usually realized is that, the growth in output and, in inequality are not two isolated phenomena. One frequently comes across the platitude that high growth will soon be trickling down to the poor, or that, redistributive action by the state through fiscal measures could decrease inequality while keeping up the growth rate. These statements are comfortable but unworkable, because they miss the main characteristic of the growth process underway. This pattern of growth is propelled by a powerful reinforcing mechanism, which the economist Gunner Myrdal had once described as ‘cumulative causation’. The mechanism by which growing inequality drives growth, and growth fuels further inequality has its origin in two different factors, both related to some extent to globalisation.

First, in contrast to earlier times when less than 4 per cent growth on an average was associated with 2 percent growth in employment, India is experiencing a growth rate of some 7-8 per cent in recent years, but the growth in regular employment has hardly exceeded 1 percent. This means most of the growth, some 5-6 percent of the GDP, is the result not of employment expansion, but of higher output per worker. This high growth of output has its source in the growth of labour productivity. According to official statistics, between 1991 and 2004 employment fell in the organised public sector, and the organised private sector hardly compensated for it. In the corporate sector, and in some organized industries productivity growth comes from mechanization and longer hours of work. Edward Luce of Financial Times (London) reported that the Jamshedpur steel plant of the Tatas employed 85000workers in 1991 to produce1million tons of steel worth 0.8million U.S. dollars. In 2005, the production rose to 5 million tons, worth about 5 million U.S dollars, while employment fell to 44,000. In short output increased approximately by a factor of five, employment dropped by a factor of half , implying an increase in labour productivity by a factor of ten. Similarly, Tata Motors in Pune reduced the number of workers from 35 to 21 thousand but increased the production of vehicles from 129,000 to311,500 between 1999 and 2004, implying labour productivity increase by a factor of 4. Stephen Roach, chief economist of Morgan Stanley reports similar cases of Bajaj motor cycle factory in Pune. In mid-1990s the factory employed 24000 workers to produce 1 million units of two wheelers. Aided by Japanese robotics and Indian information technology, in 2004, 10500 workers turned out 2.4 million units, i.e. more than double the output with less than half the labour force, an increase in labour productivity by a factor of nearly 6. (Data collected by Aseem Srivastava, ´Why this growth can never trickle down´, aseem62@yahoo.com). One could multiply such examples, but this is broadly the name of the game everywhere in the private corporate sector.

The manifold increase in labour productivity, without a corresponding increase in wages and salaries becomes an enormous source of profit, and also a source of international price competitiveness in a globalizing world. Nevertheless, this is not the entire story, perhaps not even the most important part of the story. The whole organized sector to which the corporate sector belongs, accounts for less than one-tenth of the labour force. Simply by the arithmetic of weighted average, a 5-6 per cent annual growth in labour productivity in the entire economy is possible only if the unorganized sector accounting for the remaining 90 per cent of the labour force also contributes to the growth in labour productivity. Direct information is not available on this count, but several micro studies and surveys show the broad pattern. Growth of labour productivity the unorganized, which includes most of agriculture, comes from lengthening the hours of work to a significant extent, as this sector has no labour laws worth the name, or social security to protect workers. Sub-contracting to the unorganized sector along with casualisation of labour on a large scale become convenient devices to ensure longer hours of work without higher pay. Self-employed workers, totaling 260 million, expanded fastest during the high growth regime, providing an invisible source of labour productivity growth. Ruthless self-exploitation by many of these workers in a desperate attempt to survive by doing long hours of work with very little extra earning adds both to productivity growth, often augmenting corporate profit, and to human misery.

However inequality is increasing for another reason. Its ideology often described as neo-liberalism, is easily visible at one level; but the underlying deeper reason is seldom discussed. The increasing openness of the Indian economy to international finance and capital flows, rather than to trade in goods and services, has had the consequence of paralysing many pro-poor public policies. Despite the fact that we continue to import more than we export (unlike China), India´s comfortable foreign reserves position, crossing 230 billion U.S dollars in 2008, is mostly the result of accumulated portfolio investments and short term capital inflows from various financial institutions. To keep the show going in this way, the fiscal and the monetary policies of the government need to comply with the interests of the financial markets. That is the reason why successive Indian governments have willingly accepted the Financial Responsibility and Budget Management Act (2003) restricting deficit spending. Similarly, the idea has gained support that the government should raise resources through privatisation and so-called public private partnership, but not through raising fiscal deficit, or not imposing a significant turn over tax on transactions of securities. These measures rattle the ‘sentiment’ of the financial markets, so governments remain wary of them. The hidden agenda, vigorously pursued by governments of all colour has been to keep the large private players in the financial markets in a happy mood. Since the private banks and financial institutions usually take their lead from the IMF and the World Bank, this bestows on these multilateral agencies considerable power over the formulation of government policies. However, the burden of such policies is borne largely by the poor of this country. This has had a crippling effect on policies for expanding public expenditure for the poor in the social sector.Inequality and distress grows as the state rolls back of public expenditure in social services like basic health, education, and public distribution and neglects the poor, while the ‘discipline’ imposed by the financial markets serves the rich and the corporations,. This process of high growth traps roughly one in three citizens of India in extreme poverty with no possibility of escape through either regular employment growth or relief through state expenditure on social services. The high growth scene of India appears to them like a wasteland leading to the Hell described by the great Italian poet Dante. On the gate of his imagined Hell is written, “This is the land you enter after abandoning all hopes”.
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Extremely slow growth in employment and feeble public action exacerbates inequality, as a disproportionately large share of the increasing output and income from growth goes to the richer section of the population, not more than say the top 20 per cent of the income receivers in India. At the extreme ends of income distribution the picture that emerges in one of striking contrasts. According to the Fobres magazine list for 2007, the number of Indian billionares rose from 9 in 2004 to 40 in 2007, much richer counties like Japan had only 24, France 14 and Italy14. Even China, despite its sharply increasing inequality, had only 17 billionares. The combined wealth of Indian billionares increased from US dollars106 to 170 in the single year, 2006-7. This 60 per cent increase in wealth would not have been possible, except through transfer on land from the state and central governments to the private corporations in the name of ‘public purpose’, for mining, industrialisation and special economic zones(SEZ). Estimates based on corporate profits suggest that, since 2000-01 to date, each additional per cent growth of GDP has led on an average to some 2.5 per cent growth in corporate profits. India’s high growth has certainly benefited the corporations more than anyone else.

After several years of high growth along these lines, India of the twenty first century has the distinction of being only second to the United States in terms of the combined total wealth of its corporate billionares coexisting with the largest number of homeless, ill-fed, illiterates in the world. Not surprisingly, for ordinary Indians at the receiving end, this growth process is devoid of all hope for escape. Nearly half of Indian children under 6 years suffer from under-weight and malnutrition, nearly 80 per cent from anaemia, while some 40 per cent of Indian adults suffer from chronic energy deficit. Destitution, chronic hunger and poverty kill and cripple silently thousands picking on systematically the more vulnerable. The problem is more acute in rural India, among small children, pregnant females, Dalits and Adivasis, especially in the poorer states, while market oriented policies and reforms continue to widen the gap between the rich and the poor, as well as among regions.

The growth dynamics in operation is being fed continuously by growing inequality. With their income rapidly growing, the richer group of Indians demand a set of goods, which lie outside the reach of the rest in the society (think of air conditioned malls, luxury hotels, restaurants and apartments, private cars, world class cities where the poor would be made invisible). The market for these good expands rapidly. For instance, we are told that more than 3 in 4 Indians do not have a daily income of 2 U.S dollars. They can hardly be a part of this growing market. However, the logic of the market now takes over, as the market is dictated by purchasing power. Its logic is to produce those goods for which there is enough demand backed by money, so that high prices can be charged and handsome profits can be made. As the income of the privileged grows rapidly, the market for the luxury goods they demand grows even faster through the operation of the ‘income elasticities of demand’. These elasticities roughly measure the per cent growth in the demand for particular goods due to one per cent growth in income (at unchanged prices). Typically, goods consumed by the rich have income elasticities greater than unity, implying that the demand for a whole range of luxury goods consumed by the rich expands even faster than the growth in their income. Thus, the pattern of production is dictated by this process of growth through raising both the income of the rich faster than that of the rest of the society, and also because the income elasticities operate to increase even faster than income the demand for luxuries.

The production structure resulting from this market driven high growth is heavily biased against the poor. While demand expands rapidly for various up-market goods, demand for the basic necessities of life hardly expands. Not only there is little growth in the purchasing power of the poor, but the reduction in welfare expenditures by the state stunts the growth in demand for necessities. The rapid shift in the output composition in favour of services might be indicative of this process at the macro level. But specific examples abound. We have state-of-the-art corporate run expensive hospitals, nursing homes and spas for the rich, but not enough money to control malaria and T.B. which require inexpensive treatment. So they continue to kill the largest numbers. Lack of sanitation and clean drinking water transmit deadly diseases especially to small children which could be prevented at little cost, while bottled water of various brands multiply for those who can afford. Private schools for rich kids often have monthly fees that are higher than the annual income of an average unskilled Indian worker, while the poor often have to be satisfied with schools without teachers, or class rooms.

Over time an increasingly irreversible production structure in favour of the rich begins to consolidates itself. Because the investments embodied in the specific capital goods created to produce luxuries cannot easily be converted to producing basic necessities ( the luxury hotel or spa cannot be converted easily to a primary health centre in a village etc). And yet, it is the logic of the market to direct investments towards the most productive and profitable sectors for ‘the efficient allocation of resources’. The price mechanism sends signals to guide this allocation, but the prices that rule are largely a consequence of the growing unequal distribution of income in the society. The market becomes a bad master when the distribution of income is bad.

There are insidious consequences of such a composition of output biased in favour of the rich that our liberalised market system produces. It is highly energy, water and other non- reproducible resources intensive, and often does unacceptable violence to the environment. We only have to think of the energy and material content of air-conditioned malls, luxury hotels and apartments, air travels, or private cars as means of transport. These are no doubt symbols of ‘world class’ cities in a poor country, by diverting resources from the country side where most live. It creates a black hole of urbanization with a giant appetite for primary non-reproducible resources. Many are forced to migrate to cities as fertile land is diverted to non- agricultural use, water and electricity are taken away from farms in critical agricultural seasons to supply cities, and developmental projects displaces thousands. Hydroelectric power from the big dams is transmitted mostly to corporate industries, and a few posh urban localities, while the nearby villages are left in darkness. Peasants even close to the cities do not get electricity or water to irrigate their land as urban India increasingly gobbles up these resources. Take the pattern of water use. According to the Comptroller and Auditor General report released to the public on 30th Marth 2007, Gujrat increased the allocation of Narmada waters to industry fivefold during 2006, eating into the share of drought affected villages. Despite many promises made to villagers, water allocation stagnated at 0.86 MAF (million acres feet), and even this is being cut. Water companies and soft drink giants like Coca Cola sink deeper to take out pure ground water as free raw material for their products. Peasants in surrounding areas pay, because they cannot match the technology or capital cost. Iron ore is mined out in Jharkhand, Chattisgarh and Orissa leaving tribals without home or livelihood. Common lands which traditionally provided supplementary income to the poor in villages are encroached upon systematically by the local rich and the corporations with active connivance of the government. The manifest crisis engulfing Indian agriculture with more than a hundred thousand suicides by farmers over the last decade according to official statistics is a pointer to this process of pampering the rich who use their growing economic power to dominate increasingly the multitude of poor.

The composition of output demanded by the rich is hardly producible by village artisans or the small producers. They find no place either as producers or as consumers; instead, economic activities catering to the rich have to be handed over to large corporations who can now enter in a big way into the scene. The combination of accelerating growth and rising inequality begins to work in unison. The corporations are needed to produce goods for the rich, and in the process they make their high profits and provide well-paid employment for the rich in a poor country who provide a part of the growing market. It becomes a process of destructive creation of corporate wealth, with a new coalition cutting across traditional Right and Left political division formed in the course of this road to high growth. The signboard of this road is ‘progress through industrialisation’. The middle class opinion makers and the media persons unite, and occasionally offer palliatives of ‘fair compensation’ to the dispossessed. Yet, they are at a loss as to how to create alternative dignified livelihood caused by large scale displacement and destruction in the name of industrialisation. Talks of compensation tends to be one sided, as they focus usually on ownership and, at best use rights to landed However, the multitude of the poor who eke out a living without any ownership or use right to landed property, like agricultural labourers, fishermen, or cart-drivers in rural areas, or illegal squatters and small hawkers in cities, seldom figure in this discussion about compensation. And yet, they are usually the poorest of the poor, outnumbering by far, perhaps in the ratio of 3 to 1, those who have some title to landed property. Ignoring them altogether, the state acquires with single minded devotion land, water and resources for the private corporations for mining, industrialisation or Special Economic Zones in the name of public interest. With some tribal land that can be acquired according to the PESA(1996) act only through the consent of the community(Gram Sabha), consent is frequently manufactured at gun point by the law and order machinery of the state, if the money power of the corporations to bribe and intimidate prove insufficient. The vocal supporters of industrialisation never stop to ask, why the very poor who are least able, should bear the burden of ‘economic progress’ of the rich.

It amounts to a process of internal colonisation of the poor, mostly dalits and adivasis and of other marginalised groups, through forcible dispossession and subjugation. It has set in motion a social process not altogether unknown between the imperialist ‘master race’ and the colonised ‘natives’. As the privileged thin layer of the society distance themselves from the poor, the speed at which the secession takes place comes to be celebrated as a measure of the rapid growth of the country. Thus, India is said to be poised to become a global power in the twenty first century, with the largest number of homeless, undernourished, illiterate children coexisting with the billionares created by this rapid growth. An unbridled market whose rules are fixed by the corporations aided by state power shapes this process. The ideology of progress through dispossession of the poor, preached relentlessly by the united power of the rich, the middle class and the corporations colonise directly the poor, and indirectly it has begun to colonise our minds. The result is a sort of uniform industrialisation of the mind, a standardisation of thoughts which sees no other alternative. And yet, there is a fatal flaw. No matter how powerful this united campaign by the rich corporations, the media, and the politicians is, even their combined power remains defenceless against the actual life experiences of the poor.

If this process of growth continues for long, it would produce its own demons. No society, not even our mal-functioning democratic system, can withstand beyond a point the increasing inequality that nurtures this high growth. The rising dissent of the poor must either be suppressed with increasing state violence flouting every norm of democracy, and violence will be met with counter-violence to engulf the whole society. Or, an alternative path to development that depends on deepening our democracy with popular participation has to be found. Neither the rulers nor the ruled can escape for long this challenge thrown up by the recent high growth of India.



References for sources of data and other information.

India Development Report, edited by R. Radhakrishna, Oxford University Press,2008.

Alternative Economic Survey, India 2006-2007, by Alternative Survey Group, New Delhi,Dannish Books, 2007.

Government of India,Economic Survey, 2006-2007,New Delhi, Ministry of Finance, 2007.
‘Revisiting employment and growth’ by C.Rangarajan, Padma Kaul and Seema, Money and Finance, September, 2007.

‘Service-led growth’ by Mihir Rakshit, Money and Finance, February, 2007.
Inclusive Growth in India, by S. Mahendra Dev, New Delhi, Oxford University Press,2008.

Green Left Weekly issue no.710, May, 2007.

Information from Fobres quoted in ‘Globalisation:the Indian experience’ by Anil Kumar Jain and Parul Gupta, Mainstream, Delhi, February 8-14,2008..

Why this growth can never trickle down

ASEEM SHRIVASTAVA
The Hindu, 20 May, 2007

`Development must be equitable if it is to be sustainable'

HISTORICALLY UNPRECEDENTED economic growth in India during the last decade of reforms will continue to remain exclusive, leave poverty and malnutrition unaffected and lead to growing social tensions unless reshaped by democratic political processes.

For growth to be inclusive, it must, minimally, "trickle down" to the poor. One of the following conditions must be met for the poor to find purchasing power in their hands: (1) new employment must be generated in the organised sector; (2) the indirect employment effects (in the informal sector) of growth in the organised sector are substantial and make up for the failure of the latter to create adequate employment; (3) if the gains of growth accrue largely to the rich, the government is able and willing to redistribute a fraction of them to the poor, through an appropriate fiscal policy.

On recent evidence we may safely rule out the last possibility. Not only does the government continue to offer endless tax sops to the rich (SEZs being only the latest instance of it), bound by commitments to the IMF it is unwilling to increase allocations for such redistributive development programmes as the NREGS (whose allocation remains stagnant at a measly Rs.12,000 crores this year), or the ICDS (whose allocation remains miserly at Rs. 4,800 crores).

Let us consider the other two possibilities under which growth might trickle down to the poor.

According to the government's Economic Survey (2006-07), between 1991 (when the reforms began) and 2004 (the last year for which data is available), the number of people employed in the organised private sector grew by a meagre 0.6 million (all of it accruing in the service sector, while manufacturing employment remained unchanged!) from 7.7 million in 1991 to 8.3 million in 2004. The number of people employed in the organised sector as a whole (including the public sector) fell from 26.7 to 26.4 million!

Are state policies to blame for this failure to create jobs? To some extent.

The rest of the blame has to be shouldered by the processes of globalisation — which have meant that Indian companies have to compete with those in the outside world. This means that they must use the most efficient, capital-intensive methods of production, developed in labour-scare Western economies. This has had a striking outcome in India.

While employment stagnated over the first decade and a half since the reforms began, the real output of the non-agricultural part of the economy (which is expected to provide new jobs) grew by a factor of four: the same number of workers produced four times as much output, thanks to automation of production processes!

Success is failure


This aggregate picture is corroborated by some evidence from the shop-floor.

Edward Luce of London's Financial Times reports that in 1991 the Tata steel plant in Jamshedpur — India's largest private sector steel company — employed 85,000 workers to produce one million tonnes of steel worth $ 800 million. In 2005, it churned out five million tonnes worth $ 4 billion, employing only 44,000 people. While the output multiplied five times, the employment got halved.

Stephen Roach, the Chief Economist of Morgan Stanley, visited India a few years ago and collected similar stories. The examples are legion. The picture is summarised by the story told about a Kirloskar plant near Pune, where one worker mans 27 machines!

Has employment been generated in the informal sector to make up for this? Even if 10 times the number of jobs created in the organised sector was generated in the former, at most six million new jobs were created over a decade and a half. The annual accretion to India's workforce alone is 8-14 million!

If it is any consolation, a recent ILO study concludes that even China has experienced "employment-hostile growth" since the mid-1990s. And for further consolation we might look to the West, where the complaint of jobless and job-destroying growth has been loud and persistent for at least two decades.

The ILO report concludes: "Development must be equitable if it is to be sustainable." The time has come to distinguish development sharply from exclusive growth.

aseem62@yahoo.com

Sunday, January 13, 2008

Red Capitalism

Capital is my mantra: CM

Statesman News Service

KOLKATA, Jan. 13: Mr Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee asserted his concern is for capital no matter who provides it, the Tatas, the Jindals, the USA, China or Japan.

Confirming the strain in the LF, the Forward Bloc declined to accept the CPI-M’s invitation to attend the open session of the latter’s state conference and stayed away from the rally.

The fear of adverse impact of its policy of industrialisation through acquiring farm land on the outcome of the panchayat poll a few months away forced the CPI-M to be on the back foot and the chief minister sought to take the wind off the Opposition’s sail by saying that “the question of industrialisation was not one of a conflict between the ruling party and the Opposition, but of creating thousands of jobs.”

Mr Bhattacharjee once again appealed to the Opposition to engage in discussion, “which is a democratic way”, on the crucial issue of industrialisation through acquiring farm land, instead of “blocking development through whipping up violence and disturbance.”

It was Mr Jyoti Basu who set the ball of confusion and self-contradiction rolling by peremptorily dismissing that the CPI-M could achieve socialism since it’s in power in “only three states.” “Socialism is a far cry. We can’t tell lies to the people by promising that we can achieve it. We have to depend on capitalism for economic progress as long as we remain in power in a few states of a federal country.”

Soon after CPI-M general secretary, Mr Prakash Karat launched a tirade against “US imperialism” and warned the USA and multinational corporations are pressuring the Centre to “let their capital enter the country’s retail business, insurance and banking and turn Indian into its junior partner through military alliance.” The nuclear deal, he reminded his party activists, is but a ploy to achieve those ends.

“The UPA-government is deviating from the common minimum programme, which is the basis of the Left parties’ support to it, and yielding to US pressure. We have told the Congress if it adheres to the CMP, we would continue our support, if not, we would vehemently oppose its policies.”

Contradicting what Mr Basu had said recently ruling out the formation of a third front, Mr Karat said the BJP is a communal outfit, while the Congress safeguards the interests of the rich. “We need a third alternative and for this Left unity has to be strengthened,” he said.

Mr Bhattacharjee said the lynch pin of the LF-government’s success during the past three decades was its “agrarian reforms that led to unprecedented growth in agriculture.”

He sought to convince his party men that agriculture continued to be a key policy initiative, while industrialisation is a “must” in the present economic scenario. “We would have to take as little farm land as possible for industrialisation, but our government is committed to protecting the livelihood of the displaced farmers, be they from Singur (where the Tata Motors is setting up its small car project) or from anywhere else. Are we to take lessons from the Congress and the Trinamul Congress in fighting for small and marginal farmers and the rural poor ?” he said. Mr Basu admitted “some problems” had cropped up within the LF. Mr Biman Bose, state secretary, said he was confident the areas of differences would be sorted out.

In the same breath Mr Bose took a potshot at the LF junior partners who have vehemently opposed the CPI-M’s unilateral decision on industrialisation. “Is it wrong to implement our pledge contained in the LF election manifesto on industrialisation ?” he asked in an obvious dig at the partners.


Video Footage - West Bengal: Only Capital left to Right Socialism

Monday, January 07, 2008

Work for Everyone and Amartya Sen

By Dipanjan Rai Chaudhuri. Translated by Kuver Sinha, Sanhati

Amartya Sen has written an article in two parts ( Developments in West Bengal, The Telegraph, 28-29 December, 2007) on industrialisation in West Bengal. He has supported the general direction of the method of industrialisation. Even then, it is heartening to see that he has put caveats in place – “My support for the general economic strategy of industrialization of the government of West Bengal cannot but be combined with questions about the importance of democratic values. I believe I am right in claiming that more practice of “government by discussion” would have not only enriched and improved the process of economic decision-making, it would have actually led to better economic plans and better translation of the general strategy of industrializing - or re-industrializing - West Bengal.” Sen has also said that these caveats are relevant not only for past policies, but for the future as well. He is to be thanked for at least such an implicit criticism of the state government.

Further, Sen feels that “very serious consideration” is required for the following points: “the possibility that taking land from agriculture would impoverish the agriculturalists who live on that land, no matter how large an income the new enterprises may actually produce for other people.” and “concerns about entitlement failures of specific occupation groups and the effects that this might have on starvation of those groups (no matter what happens to the totality of incomes).”

Of course, in terms of solutions, he asks “is it really essential for the government to acquire the land that is needed, rather than allowing the industrial firm involved to buy it?” It is not clear to us how this would make a difference to erosion of the basic capabilities of the people who depend on the land for livelihood without being owners themselves (10,000 in Singur).

Even then, his concern for the lives and livelihoods of displaced people can only be welcome.

On the issue of SEZs too, his stance, while not that of an opponent, is at least that of a critic. He says “the wholesale forgoing of public revenue in SEZs as a general policy certainly demands much closer examination and more critical scrutiny.”

On the whole, Sen has distanced his support from the West Bengal government’s disregard for peoples’ suffering and the protest that has emerged in its wake, its shameless espousal of SEZs and its brokering of land for big business. At a time when people of the state are registering their dissatisfaction and protest in the face of daily harrassment from the biggest party of the government, even such indirect criticism from Sen is helpful.

But the fact remains that Amartya Sen is a supporter of the West Bengal government’s basic industrial policy. If we strip away all the embellishment, the logic is “to remove poverty, we must increase income”. This “income”, however, is the neo-liberal economist’s “income” – comprising, in the example of the Singur factory, the Tatas’ profits, bank interest, government revenue, and, only as a fourth component, the wages of the employees. In an unequal society like India, an increase in this “income” may leave poverty unaffected or even in an enhanced state (an idea of the magnitude of inequality can be gleaned from the UN’s 2004 Human Development Report: 42 % of India’s national income is enjoyed by the richest 20 %, while the poorest 20 % get only 9 %).

Amit Bhaduri has constructed an example of a society with an annual “income” of Rs.23,000 per head, composed of 99 slaves earning Rs.100 annually per head, and 1 owner whose annual income is Rs.2,290,100. Now, if the net income of the slaves does not increase at all, but the owner’s income increases to Rs.2,520,100, then the annual increase of GDP will be recorded as 10% ! So, in an unequal society, an increase of “income” or GDP does not automatically mean a decrease in poverty.

Sen knows that there will be criticism along these lines. He anticipates this with the remark “It is often said that the country is not getting anything substantial, because of the inequality of the generated income, from India’s high rate of growth of gross domestic product.” Very true. What do Singur’s residents and the common man in West Bengal have to gain from Tata’s huge profits and the respectable wages of a handful of employees?

Sen mentions this criticism, but does not offer answers. He speaks instead of other benefits of increasing “income” . “…Public revenue is going up much faster than even the GDP growth that is generating this revenue expansion”, which thus “creates a wonderful opportunity to make much larger investments in public education, healthcare, public transport, environmental protection, and other public goods.”

Really? The opportunity may be there, does that necessarily lead to investment? Or investment to correct targets? Won’t a government with a neo-liberal mindset see what it is that the market wants? Market looks at purchasing power. People who do not purchase are outside the market. If the government has money, it will make malls and flyovers. Let’s see what it won’t make.

In 2002, 31% of the people between 15 and 35 in this state were illiterate. All these people have lived under the Left Front government’s thirty year rule, since, at most, the age of ten. In the Left Front government’s 24th year of rule, 12,085 primary schools had two classrooms, 12,054 had one, and 1384 had none. (In a primary school, there are 4 grades.) Let’s not judge education by quantity. Let’s examine quality. Sample surveys have revealed that among third and fourth graders, only 7% of those who do not have private tutors (outside school) can spell their names correctly. The corresponding figure among those who have private tutors is 80.

Let us look at a sample survey in the field of healthcare, from 2002-2003. On the day of the survey, 7 of 18 health sub-centers were not working. Of 3 Block level health centers, one did not have facilities for testing blood, urine, or stool. 29% of the patients spoke of being treated by quacks. In Birbhum district, only 45% infants had been completely vaccinated, and 53% births had taken place outside any healthcare institution. The back cover of the survey has a telling summary: “Even our survey’s limited scope carries the message that the government’s health system needs massive overhauling…the failure of the government’s healthcare system and the paucity of its services have resulted in the growth of private healthcare. Even extremely poor people have no alternative but to fall back on private healthcare…the root of the problem lies in the scarcity of government centers and their dysfunctional nature.”

Who said this after 25 years of the Left Front’s rule? Amartya Sen himself. Both education and health surveys were conducted by the Pratichi Trust he created.
(Source: (1) The Pratichi Education report : a study in West Bengal. New Delhi: TLM Books, 2002. Introduction by Amartya Sen. (2) Pratichi (India) Trust (2005), Pratichi Health Report, TLM Books, New Delhi.)

Public transport? The state government has adopted a scheme of restructuring publicly-owned enterprises. “Restructuring” means the right of the government to divest up to 74% of the shareholding to private investors. In the second phase of this scheme, the State Electricity Board and the state transport agencies are due for “restructuring”.

“To reduce poverty, income has to be increased” – correct, provided that, along with the increase in income, its distribution benefits the poor. Not through charity, but through employment. Since it is not hugely incorrect to view GDP as a product of the number of working people and the productivity per worker, it can increase if employment increases without reducing productivity. In fact, if distribution is to benefit the working people, this is the best way to increase GDP.

Why is there opposition to “industrialization” based on investment by big capitalists, national and international? Sen views the issue in the context of a debate over “communism” and “anti-capitalist high theory against private investment”. So, he has found it necessary to compare Cuba, with its preference for the public sector, and the newly privatization-loving China. In actual fact, however, the reason for the opposition is not theoretical but rooted eminently in reality. Big private capital (especially in its concern over foreign markets) wants continuously to reduce wages to remain competitive. Thus, it wants a contraction of employment, not creation of employment. Investment by big capital will increase GDP by increasing unemployment, with a distribution skewed against the poor. It thus becomes necessary to look for alternatives to this kind of big capital based “industrialization”.

And what comes of the comparison between China and Cuba? Before the “reforms”, China had assured healthcare for all. Afterwards, almost 20% of the population has no such assurance. On the other hand, Cuba’s healthcare system is so good that the life expectancy of Cubans is almost equal to that of Americans. School education for all has been a success in Cuba. Amartya Sen has himself written all this.

Besides, the UN Human Development Report of 2005 places Cuba at number 51 (human development index value 0.838), China at 81 (0.777) and India at 118 (0.619). It is from the work of Amartya Sen and Mahbub ul Haq that we have learnt the importance of the Human Development Index (HDI). What has Cuba to learn from China’s way of increasing GDP at the cost of human development? Or has Amartya Sen revised himself: GDP is more important than HDI?

If we set aside conservative neo-classical / neo-liberal fundamentalism and stare at the reality confronting our country today, it will be evident that the unemployment problem will not be solved in this way.

What is the annual increase in the number of people capable of work?

If we take people between 15 and 59 to be capable of work, then we have to calculate the annual increase of population in this bracket. According to the 2001 census, there were 4,81,84,000 people in West Bengal in this age bracket. According to a Planning Commission report, in 1998-1999, there were 51.9 crores of people in India in that category, and the projected figure in 20 years stands at 80 crores.

Taking this compound rate of increase (2.187%), the number of such people in West Bengal in 2007 is 5,48,62,646. Thus, in 2007, an estimate of the yearly increase in this bracket is 11,99,846. We are looking at around 12 lakh new job-seekers every year in West Bengal.

The Tatas have promised 10,000 jobs (in an unmentioned number of years) and the Haldia Petrochemical Company (already realized) has provided 670 jobs (+ 1200 jobs for contract labourers in the company + 3200 in five years in the Haldia complex + 8-10 thousand in five years in the downstream plastic industry). [Source: Haldia Petrochemicals – a lesson in (non)-development, www.sanhati.com, and the 2007 report of the WB Vidhan Sabha Select Committee on Industry and Commerce.] The stark reality of the unemployment problem is 60 lakh workers in five years, a figure beside which the previous figures for employment generation by big capital are insignificant.

What is needed is a different path of development which will ensure that nobody remains unemployed. We want jobs. If not today, then tomorrow, or at least next year. Not in ten years. Because people cannot survive without food for ten years.

Amit Bhaduri has proposals about an industrialization which will create jobs (Development with Dignity, and a series of articles). At the core of his thesis is full employment through the construction of infrastructure (not relief work – but productive work in keeping with real needs) and labour-intensive industrialization overseen by local self-governing bodies (like Panchayets). Let big capital invest as it will. But let the government pay attention to methods of building employment-generating industries.

We want the state government to consider alternative modes of industrialization which will ensure adequate job creation. We are sad to note that Amartya Sen has instead encouraged them to continue along the path of virtually jobless big investment .

Sunday, December 30, 2007

THE INDUSTRIAL STRATEGY - Developments in West Bengal

Amartya Sen
The Telegraph, 29-30 December

I see that our rajyapal, my friend Gopal Gandhi, told the graduating students of Jadavpur University, at its 52nd convocation on December 24, “Students who pass from this university should have a clarity of mind so that they speak lucidly and logically.” I have never been a student at Jadavpur University, but I have taught there, and I decided that Gopal Gandhi’s firm instruction must apply to me as well: we cannot ask the students to do something that their teachers cannot do. Certainly, there is need for seeking some clarity and reach in speaking about events and developments in West Bengal right now.

The first thing to note is that there are some very important distinctions to be made between the different issues involved in the current debates — distinctions that are sometimes missed. The first, and perhaps the most immediate, distinction is that between a general economic strategy and the general politics of governance (including matters of law and order) associated with that economic strategy. A second distinction relates not to the economics-politics division but arises within the political domain: that between the politics of administration (including maintaining law and order with justice) and the general importance of some political values, particularly that of democracy. The third distinction arises within the economic domain, in particular the difference between the nature of a general economic strategy, on the one hand, and the specific economic proposals, on the other, that are devised to carry out that strategy. I begin with the general industrial strategy that underlies the economic policy programme, but this will have to be supplemented, in the second essay (to be published tomorrow in this two-essay presentation), with considerations of the politics of governance, the importance of democracy, and the translation of the general strategy into concrete economic policies.

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I begin, then, with the policy strategy of rapidly industrializing West Bengal, involving various means but firmly including the use of private investment in industries and in modern services in this state. I would argue that this general strategy is basically correct. What is so good about rapid industrial development? The basic point is simple enough. In removing poverty, incomes would have to be raised (though there are a variety of other things also to be considered, since we do not live by income alone), and it is hard to do effective and secure income-raising without substantial industrial expansion. This works not just through direct income generation but also through its indirect consequences in energizing an economy and generating new skills (critics of industrial expansion often overlook the extent to which different parts of a working economy are interdependent). It is not surprising that no substantial country ever has crossed the barrier of poverty without very substantial industrialization. If the need for an industrial base and the corresponding skills applies to all countries in the world (as I believe it does), it has a particularly strong relevance to Bengal which was one of the more prosperous parts of the world based on strong industries in pre-colonial days, and was especially advanced in textile production. That industrial advantage was lost during colonial rule when the pre-mechanized industries went downhill without new and modern industries coming up, and to this has to be added the reputation that Calcutta developed in the second half of the 20th century as a hotbed of industrial action, scaring industrial investors away.

Strong rejection of this general approach comes from at least two distinct groups. There are, first of all, those who simply do not want capitalists in West Bengal, and do not, in particular, want to invite private capital to help industrialize the state. What is the point, the politically determined typically ask, of having a communist government if it is going to turn all soft on capitalism? The second group of opponents are on a very different track, even though in denouncing the government they can be strong allies. This group of critics would not want to take land away from agricultural use. There are some genuine “physiocrats” among this group, with agriculture-fetishism and a strong belief in the unparalleled — almost mystical — merits of agriculture. Their arguments were adequately rebutted about 200 years ago, and if life has ceased to be quite as “nasty, brutish and short” as Thomas Hobbes found it, the contribution of industrial development to that change would be hard to overlook.

However, the agriculture-favouring opponents have presented some other arguments that are indeed very weighty. Two in particular deserve very serious consideration. Some oppose the diversion of fertile and productive land into industrial use, which applies to some extent to Singur as well, since such land is clearly very useful for agriculture. Another important argument points to the possibility that taking land from agriculture would impoverish the agriculturalists who live on that land, no matter how large an income the new enterprises may actually produce for other people. I have seen various arguments making this point forcefully, including in one case invoking — I believe appropriately — my own concerns about entitlement failures of specific occupation groups and the effects that this might have on starvation of those groups (no matter what happens to the totality of incomes).

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How strong is the anti-capitalist high theory against private investment, with an implicit vision of a hugely prosperous State ownership economy? In particular, should not communists shun private investment? It is sad for high theory, but in most cases that would be a mistake, if the communists want rapid economic development for the removal of poverty (as they clearly do). It is not an accident that every communist country reliant on pervasive state ownership in the world has either moved to welcoming private investment quite substantially (as China has done), or has declined and been replaced by straightforward capitalist systems (as has happened in Russia and other countries in the former Soviet Union). The exception is Cuba, but its economic success is extremely limited. It remains a poor economy.

But is there, then, nothing to learn from Cuba? There is, in fact, a hugely positive lesson in the Cuban experience about how much can be achieved, despite economic poverty, through excellent public healthcare and school education. Despite its low income, Cuba has nearly the same life expectancy as the much richer population of the United States of America, primarily because of its medical system which is good and which does not leave a huge proportion of the population uninsured, as the US one does. There is, however, also a precise lesson here about how one need not become a capitalist camp follower simply because of accepting the pragmatic case for using private investment in industries. The role of the State in many fields, including in universal medical care and in universal schooling, remains extremely strong, and it is a lesson that has often been missed, even by countries that are formally communist.

Take China. Pre-reform China, before the privatization that began in 1979, had already achieved a high life expectancy (68 years at birth) and very high literacy rates through universal public healthcare and public education. To be sure, China also had a terribly inefficient communal agriculture, and this, combined with a general lack of democracy and a free media, was mainly responsible for the famines of 1958-61 which killed between 23 and 30 million people (the existence of this catastrophe is now denied only in the Indian subcontinent, not in China or anywhere else, and then again only by some whom I would call hard-core theorists — it is hard to call them Marxists since Marx had such strong respect for empirical information). But the general system of public healthcare with universal coverage and universal schooling had dramatic achievements in pre-reform China, and in 1979, China was 14 years ahead of India in life expectancy at birth.

The Chinese economy was, however, in a mess, and the reforms of 1979 put agriculture on a much surer footing through private farming under the new “responsibility system”. In industries too, the reforms achieved a great deal, when China went on to use private investment drawn from all over the world. But the reforms did not stop there. Such was the new belief in the magic of the market (China leaped from a comprehensive anti-market position to a comprehensive pro-market philosophy) that the Chinese also abolished overnight the entitlement to free healthcare for all. Everyone now had to rely on private purchase of health insurance, except in the relatively few cases where the employing organization did that for the employee. The bulk of the population got suddenly excluded from entitlement to public health service, and it is now thought that no more than 20 per cent of the population has assured healthcare. Since then, China’s progress in health and longevity has slowed down dramatically. Even India has been catching up with China, despite the messy state of India’s own healthcare: India’s shortfall from China in life expectancy at birth has been halved since 1979, from 14 years to 7 years. And a state like Kerala with universal medical coverage by the State (even though private medicine also thrives in Kerala on the secure foundation of public medical entitlement for all) is very substantially ahead of China in life expectancy. To take another measure, in 1979, China and Kerala both had an infant mortality rate of 37 per thousand, and this has now fallen only to 28 in China, whereas the rate is less than half that in Kerala (around 10 to 14, depending on which survey you use).

There is, thus, a lesson from Cuba that China missed (about the merits of universal public healthcare) and a lesson from China that Cuba missed (about the positive role of private investment in industries). And there are huge lessons from the experiences of the rest of the world. India in general, and West Bengal in particular, can learn from all. Neither a comprehensive anti-privatization philosophy, nor a comprehensive pro-privatization position, would offer what is needed.

Since I am now what is called a “senior citizen” —an euphemism for being old and feeble — when people are supposed to turn autobiographical, indulging incessantly in reminiscences, I shall follow that hallowed practice myself, beginning with my college days in the early Fifties. Like many students in Calcutta at that time, I was quite firmly on the left of the political spectrum, without joining any political party. If there was anything in particular that worried me greatly, it was the scepticism with which democracy — usually called “bourgeois democracy” — was viewed by those with whose radical commitment to economic equity and social justice I was, otherwise, much in sympathy. Krushchev’s denunciation of Stalin at the Twentieth Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in 1956 was yet to come, but we knew something already about the demise of other political parties in the Soviet Union, the arbitrary arrests and trials and purges, the “voluntary confessions” of former comrades, the famine in the Ukraine, the devastation of independent workers’ unions, and so on. And yet it was hard to join the political opponents of the Left, who very often deserved their reactionary reputation and seemed indifferent to removing terrible economic deprivations and social inequity with adequate speed and urgency.

So the chosen position of many of us was to remain broadly in support of the Left, with the hope that problems such as inadequate appreciation of the value of democracy and liberty would get rectified over time. A big cluster of people I knew well, including such diverse personalities as Sukhamoy Chakravarty, Satyajit Ray, P.C. Mahalanobis (to name just a few, with very different involvements and of varying ages) had somewhat similar attitudes about the Left, and over the years, this yielded a sizeable Left-oriented civil society in Calcutta. The broad support of the Left civil society might not have swung any elections, but it did make some difference to what was written in the newspapers and books, and what came out in films and theatres.

Establishment Left politics did, in fact, come to terms gradually with democracy and a multi-party liberal society. A deep-rooted conservatism might have prevented the CPI(M) from “de-Stalinizing” formally (I remember telling my 11-year-old daughter in answer to her question about who the moustached person was in the posters at the Howrah station, “Look at him carefully, Indrani, since you will not see his picture anywhere else in the world any more: his name was Joe Stalin”). But the operational beliefs of the party did change over time, and the dismissal of “bourgeois democracy” gave way to multi-party politics, defence of minority rights, championing of habeas corpus, celebration of media freedom — indeed most of the basic ingredients of democratic practice.

However, central to democracy is also the idea of “government by discussion” (I think John Stuart Mill, a socialist himself, floated the term, but it probably pre-dated him substantially). The question I am about to ask is whether some of the turmoil of the past year relates to a less vigorous practice of discussion than should ideally go with decisions and their execution. This may apply both to governmental policies at the top and to the strong-armed behaviour of party activists down the line. I do, of course, see the difficulty in having “government by discussion” when the principal opposition party seems much more keen on shutting down the town than in chatting about problems and their solutions, but the government does have a huge responsibility, especially given its large majority in the assembly, in initiating and trying hard to make a success of the dialogic route.

In yesterday’s essay, I defended the general strategy of industrialization chosen by the West Bengal government, including the participation of private investment. And yet, even though that policy is, I think, right, I would not say that there is nothing much to discuss there. A discussion allows differentiations and variations in a way that the announcement of an already cemented policy does not. I think, for example, the merits of the economic plans for Singur and Nandigram are hugely different. This is not only because the Nandigram plan called for ten times the amount of land (10,000 acres) than Singur needed (1,000 acres). It is also because Singur residents are, in general, much less dependent on agricultural income than Nandigram residents (the percentage of labouring families dependent on agriculture is 32 per cent in Singur and 52 per cent in Nandigram), and have much less risk of minority vulnerability (the Muslim population is 9 per cent of the total population in Singur, as opposed to 32 per cent in Nandigram). No less importantly, the Singur project is from an industrial group, the Tatas, with the best record in India of good relations with workers and sensitivity to public concerns, whereas the Nandigram proposal came from a group not known here in India and very often not thought to be terribly admirable by those who know something about it abroad.

The Nandigram proposal is now evidently abandoned (after abusive exchanges, rowdy demonstrations, street fights, violent evictions of residents on both sides of the divide in sequence, and most alarmingly, police shooting and killing), but the abandonment could have emerged on the basis of discussions before the parties involved declared full-scale war. There are things to discuss about the specifics of the Singur project as well, including global and local issues about the environment. There are also more immediate issues of land acquisition and pricing, which take me back to the arguments mentioned in the first essay on the possible case against transferring land from agricultural use to industrial utilization.

Is it fair to acquire land at prices which, though substantially higher than current market values of the land, when confined to agricultural use, are undoubtedly quite a bit lower than the prices that these bits of land would have commanded if they were sold in the market after being released from confinement to agriculture? Going further, is it really essential for the government to acquire the land that is needed, rather than allowing the industrial firm involved to buy it? Had the land been voluntarily sold to the Tatas, there would be no ground for complaint about non-consent, and no sense of being hard done by through governmental fiat. Such private purchase might, of course, be difficult to achieve when the plots are divided into quite tiny holdings, but the general policy, now in widespread use, of thinking of acquisition first, rather than of purchase, seems rather breathless.

It is not hard to see that the industrialists might favour, for reasons of relative costs and the ability to attract good management, locations that happen to involve fertile land (Singur’s proximity to Calcutta clearly moved the Tatas), and it is also true that the new industries can generate large incomes — much larger than the agriculture it replaces, even when based on multiple-cropping. But we also have to see where the new incomes go. The worry about the subsistence and living standard of the owners and cultivators of acquired lands is not, thus, misplaced, though the problem would be far less had the land transfer followed sales rather than compulsory acquisition. There is surely much to discuss here.

There is also the consideration that a larger aggregate income can be a huge source of public revenue, which can be used for any public purpose. It is often said that the country is not getting anything substantial, because of the inequality of the generated income, from India’s high rate of growth of gross domestic product. One reason why this critique may be mistaken is that public revenue is going up much faster than even the GDP growth that is generating this revenue expansion. In 2003-4, for India as a whole, the economic growth of 6.5 per cent was exceeded by the revenue growth of 9.5 per cent, and in 2004-5 to 2006-7, the growth rates of 7.5 per cent, 9.0 per cent, and 9.4 per cent have been respectively bettered by the expansion rates of government revenue of 12.5 per cent, 9.7 per cent, and 11.2 per cent (all figures in “real terms”, that is corrected for price change). This creates a wonderful opportunity to make much larger investments in public education, healthcare, public transport, environmental protection, and other public goods. There is, however, a catch here, since the SEZs that are being set up across the country do not do this — they are exempt from most taxes. Singur is not, of course, an SEZ (though it did get some tax concessions), but the proper SEZs, which are springing up all over the country, are huge forgone opportunities for raising public revenue.

There was — and is — strong ground for much more discussion on the case for and against SEZs in India as a whole, and in West Bengal in particular. It seems reasonable enough to propose particular tax concessions, as the West Bengal government did with the Tatas and may do with other industrial groups to break the isolation of West Bengal in the world of modern industries and enterprises, but the wholesale forgoing of public revenue in SEZs as a general policy certainly demands much closer examination and more critical scrutiny.

I began by talking about the Left civil society in Calcutta and West Bengal. As someone who, broadly speaking, belongs to that group, I do not think I have seen it as sceptical and alienated from Left politics ever before. And the shift goes, I think, well beyond the intellectuals of Left civil society and applies to people who are less vocal but whose disquiet about their previous favourites is not at all hard to detect. There is, I think, quite widespread frustration about not having much discussion on what seem eminently discussable questions. Joe Stalin, who smiled down from the walls of the Howrah station 20 years ago, would not approve, but the establishment Left does have to remember the long tradition of fighting for democracy and voice and dialogue in Left movements.

My support for the general economic strategy of industrialization of the government of West Bengal cannot but be combined with questions about the importance of democratic values. I believe I am right in claiming that more practice of “government by discussion” would have not only enriched and improved the process of economic decision-making, it would have actually led to better economic plans and better translation of the general strategy of industrializing — or re-industrializing — West Bengal. If this applies to the past, it is no less relevant for the future.